New York manufacturers say business activity jumped this month
to its highest since late-2009, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of
New York's Empire State Manufacturing Survey released Monday.
The Empire State's business conditions index rose to 27.5 in
September from 14.7 in August. A reading above zero indicates expansion,
while negative readings reflect contraction.
Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had expected the latest index to rise to 16.0.
The Empire subindexes outside of employment showed broad improvement.
The shipments subindex rose to 27.08 from 24.59 in August, while new orders rose to 16.86 from 14.14.
Inventories contracted at a slower pace, at -7.61 this month after falling to -14.77 in August.
Labor indicators for the region, however, were less upbeat, with the
index for the number of employees falling to 3.26 this month from 13.64
in August. The average workweek fell to 3.26 from 7.95.
The prices paid index receded a bit to 23.91 from 27.27. The prices
received index jumped to 17.39 from 7.95, indicating a pickup in the
pace of increases in selling price.
The generally rosy view on current conditions was paired with upbeat outlooks on business activity.
The general business conditions expectations index for the next six
months held up at 46.72 after jumping to 46.76 last month. The employee
expectations index dropped slipped to 14.13 from 22.73, but the average
employee workweek expectations index improved to 5.43 from zero in
August.
"Though both of these indexes were somewhat below their August
levels, they remained high by historical standards," the report said.
The New York Fed survey is the first factory report released by
regional Fed banks. Economists use the surveys as guideposts to forecast
the health of the national industrial sector as captured in the monthly
manufacturing report done by the Institute for Supply Management.